10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
🔬ScienceSTRONG NOAlpha: 10

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

YES Price
$0.06
5.8% implied probability
NO Price
$0.94
94.3% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength93% NO

14 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 93% consensus betting NO. This creates a 3.7% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.94. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $17.3K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 9
% Edge
9%
Days Left
277
Annualized
5%
Smart Wallets
14

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

14 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (93%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$7.5K
Liquidity
$29.5K
Smart Money Size
$17.3K
Consensus Strength
93%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.06 (5.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.94 (94.3% implied probability). The market has $7K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?"?â–¾

14 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 93% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $17.3K. The alpha score is 10 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 10 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 3.7% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score10
ConsensusSTRONG NO
End Date12/31/2026

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10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire