Understanding Markets On Fire

Markets On Fire surfaces Polymarket markets where top-performing wallets are actively positioning. Here's what each metric means and how to use them.

Alpha Score

A composite score (0-100) combining smart wallet activity, consensus strength, and opportunity quality. Higher scores indicate stronger alpha signals.

Smart Wallet Count

The number of tracked top-performing wallets that hold positions in this market. More wallets = more conviction from proven traders.

Consensus

The direction and strength of smart wallet positioning. STRONG YES/NO means most wallets agree. LEAN means mild agreement.

Edge %

The percentage difference between smart money average entry price and the current market price. A higher edge suggests more upside potential.

Days Remaining

How many days until the market resolves. Markets closer to expiry with high alpha scores may present time-sensitive opportunities.

Annualized Return

The projected return if the edge holds, annualized for comparison. Helps compare short-term and long-term opportunities.

How to Execute

1. Find your market

Browse by category, sort by alpha score, or search for specific markets.

2. Open in Telegram

Click "Trade on Telegram" on any market page to open it directly in the PolyFire bot.

3. Execute instantly

Choose your amount, confirm the trade, and your position is live. All from Telegram.