Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Smart Money Analysis
19 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 63% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 20.7% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.68. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $8.3K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 81%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 14Alpha Signal: HOLD
19 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (63%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.68 (67.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.33 (32.5% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?"?â–¾
19 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 63% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $8.3K. The alpha score is 17 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 17 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾
The 20.7% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.