Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
CryptoLEAN NOAlpha: 9

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
$0.14
13.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.86
86.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength68% NO

14 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 68% consensus betting NO. This creates a 7.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.86. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $63.7K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 12
% Edge
12%
Days Left
277
Annualized
10%
Smart Wallets
14

Alpha Signal: HOLD

14 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (68%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$8.8K
Liquidity
$56.1K
Smart Money Size
$63.7K
Consensus Strength
68%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.14 (13.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.86 (86.5% implied probability). The market has $9K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?"?

14 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 68% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $63.7K. The alpha score is 9 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 9 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 7.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score9
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire