Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
💼BusinessLEAN NOAlpha: 8

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

YES Price
$0.18
18.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.82
82.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength71% NO

4 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 71% consensus betting NO. This creates a notable 16.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.82. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $2.1K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 11
% Edge
11%
Days Left
277
Annualized
21%
Smart Wallets
4

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

4 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (71%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$150.36
Liquidity
$9.7K
Smart Money Size
$2.1K
Consensus Strength
71%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.18 (18.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.82 (82.0% implied probability). The market has $0K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?"?

4 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 71% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $2.1K. The alpha score is 8 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 8 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 16.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score8
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire