Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
🎬Pop CultureLEAN YESAlpha: 9

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?

YES Price
$0.41
40.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.59
59.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength63% YES

8 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 63% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 39.6% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.41. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $10.7K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 52%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 24
% Edge
24%
Days Left
276
Annualized
52%
Smart Wallets
8

Alpha Signal: HOLD

8 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (63%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$3.2K
Liquidity
$39.7K
Smart Money Size
$10.7K
Consensus Strength
63%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.41 (40.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.59 (59.5% implied probability). The market has $3K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?"?â–¾

8 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 63% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $10.7K. The alpha score is 9 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 9 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 39.6% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🎬Pop Culture
Alpha Score9
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date12/31/2026

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Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire