Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Smart Money Analysis
25 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 72% consensus betting NO. This creates a 5.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.93. Smart money has committed $129.4K in total exposure to this market.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 16Alpha Signal: BUY_NO
25 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (72%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.07 (7.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.93 (92.5% implied probability). The market has $12K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?â–¾
25 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 72% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $129.4K. The alpha score is 19 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 19 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾
The 5.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.