Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
🇺🇸US PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 21

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

YES Price
$0.43
43.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.56
56.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength75% NO

4 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 75% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 41.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.56. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $2.1K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 55%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 24
% Edge
24%
Days Left
277
Annualized
55%
Smart Wallets
4

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

4 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (75%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$18.16
Liquidity
$36.8K
Smart Money Size
$2.1K
Consensus Strength
75%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.43 (43.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.56 (56.5% implied probability). The market has $0K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?"?â–¾

4 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 75% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $2.1K. The alpha score is 21 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 21 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 41.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score21
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire