Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?
💼BusinessSTRONG YESAlpha: 37

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
$0.63
62.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.38
37.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength87% YES

15 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 87% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 35.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.63. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $16.1K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 18
% Edge
18%
Days Left
277
Annualized
47%
Smart Wallets
15

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

15 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (87%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$173.09
Liquidity
$6.2K
Smart Money Size
$16.1K
Consensus Strength
87%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.63 (62.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.38 (37.5% implied probability). The market has $0K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?"?â–¾

15 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 87% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $16.1K. The alpha score is 37 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 37 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 35.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score37
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date12/31/2026

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Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire