Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
🇺🇸US PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

YES Price
$0.42
42.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.57
57.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength37% NO

19 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 37% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $13.8K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 17
% Edge
17%
Days Left
83
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
19

Alpha Signal: HOLD

19 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (37%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$6.0K
Liquidity
$25.1K
Smart Money Size
$13.8K
Consensus Strength
37%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.42 (42.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.57 (57.5% implied probability). The market has $6K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?"?â–¾

19 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 37% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $13.8K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date6/21/2026

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Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire