Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

YES Price
$0.28
28.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.71
71.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength54% NO

75 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 54% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $353.9K in total exposure to this market.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 13
% Edge
13%
Days Left
276
Annualized
Smart Wallets
75

Alpha Signal: HOLD

75 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (54%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$76.1K
Liquidity
$476.1K
Smart Money Size
$353.9K
Consensus Strength
54%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.28 (28.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.71 (71.5% implied probability). The market has $76K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?"?

75 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 54% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $353.9K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2026

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire