Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
🇺🇸US PoliticsSTRONG YESAlpha: 12

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YES Price
$0.03
2.8% implied probability
NO Price
$0.97
97.2% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength80% YES

20 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 80% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 95.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.03. Smart money has committed $175.8K in total exposure to this market.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 33
% Edge
33%
Days Left
953
Annualized
37%
Smart Wallets
20

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

20 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (80%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$316.6K
Liquidity
$414.8K
Smart Money Size
$175.8K
Consensus Strength
80%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.03 (2.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.97 (97.2% implied probability). The market has $317K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?â–¾

20 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 80% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $175.8K. The alpha score is 12 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 12 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 95.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score12
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date11/7/2028

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Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire