Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
🇺🇸US PoliticsLEAN YESAlpha: 19

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

YES Price
$0.20
20.3% implied probability
NO Price
$0.80
79.8% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength75% YES

44 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 75% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 77.8% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.20. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $74.4K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 33
% Edge
33%
Days Left
953
Annualized
30%
Smart Wallets
44

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

44 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (75%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$102.9K
Liquidity
$320.9K
Smart Money Size
$74.4K
Consensus Strength
75%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.20 (20.3% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.80 (79.8% implied probability). The market has $103K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?â–¾

44 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 75% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $74.4K. The alpha score is 19 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 19 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 77.8% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score19
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date11/7/2028

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Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire