Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN YESAlpha: 7

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

YES Price
$0.08
8.2% implied probability
NO Price
$0.92
91.8% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength61% YES

24 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 61% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 62.3% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.08. Smart money has committed $279.7K in total exposure to this market.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 34
% Edge
34%
Days Left
953
Annualized
24%
Smart Wallets
24

Alpha Signal: HOLD

24 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (61%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$130.1K
Liquidity
$501.6K
Smart Money Size
$279.7K
Consensus Strength
61%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.08 (8.2% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.92 (91.8% implied probability). The market has $130K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

24 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 61% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $279.7K. The alpha score is 7 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 7 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 62.3% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score7
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date11/7/2028

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Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire