Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

YES Price
$0.21
21.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.79
78.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength48% NO

21 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 48% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $194.3K in total exposure to this market. With 17 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 28
% Edge
28%
Days Left
17
Annualized
Smart Wallets
21

Alpha Signal: HOLD

21 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (48%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$73.9K
Liquidity
$41.8K
Smart Money Size
$194.3K
Consensus Strength
48%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.21 (21.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.79 (78.5% implied probability). The market has $74K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?"?

21 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 48% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $194.3K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date4/15/2026

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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire