Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

YES Price
$0.26
26.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.74
74.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength47% NO

11 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 47% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $11.7K. With 32 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 23
% Edge
23%
Days Left
32
Annualized
Smart Wallets
11

Alpha Signal: HOLD

11 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (47%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$28.5K
Liquidity
$37.4K
Smart Money Size
$11.7K
Consensus Strength
47%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.26 (26.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.74 (74.0% implied probability). The market has $29K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?"?

11 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 47% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $11.7K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date4/30/2026

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Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire