Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?
Smart Money Analysis
10 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 70% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 29.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.69. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $23.2K. An alpha score of 62 signals strong smart money interest relative to the broader market. Resolution is 7 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 43Alpha Signal: BUY_NO
10 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (70%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.32 (31.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.69 (68.5% implied probability). The market has $7K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?"?â–¾
10 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 70% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $23.2K. The alpha score is 62 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 62 out of 100, which indicates strong smart money interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾
The 29.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.