Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

YES Price
$0.14
14.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.86
86.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength52% NO

21 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 52% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $227.5K in total exposure to this market. With 17 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 28
% Edge
28%
Days Left
17
Annualized
Smart Wallets
21

Alpha Signal: HOLD

21 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (52%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$72.9K
Liquidity
$47.3K
Smart Money Size
$227.5K
Consensus Strength
52%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.14 (14.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.86 (86.0% implied probability). The market has $73K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?"?

21 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 52% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $227.5K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date4/15/2026

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Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire