US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
🇺🇸US PoliticsAlpha: 0

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

YES Price
$0.41
41.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.58
58.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength49% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 49% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $1.5K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 5
% Edge
5%
Days Left
92
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (49%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$7.0K
Liquidity
$12.0K
Smart Money Size
$1.5K
Consensus Strength
49%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.41 (41.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.58 (58.5% implied probability). The market has $7K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?"?â–¾

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 49% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.5K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

Log in to trade this market

Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date6/30/2026

Ready to trade this market?

Open PolyFire on Telegram and execute in seconds.

Trade on Telegram
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire