Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 1

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

YES Price
$0.38
38.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.62
62.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength53% NO

32 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 53% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $186.7K in total exposure to this market. With 32 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 24
% Edge
24%
Days Left
32
Annualized
Smart Wallets
32

Alpha Signal: HOLD

32 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (53%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$57.3K
Liquidity
$65.8K
Smart Money Size
$186.7K
Consensus Strength
53%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.38 (38.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.62 (62.0% implied probability). The market has $57K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?"?

32 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 53% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $186.7K. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score1
End Date4/30/2026

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Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire