MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
CryptoLEAN NOAlpha: 7

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?

YES Price
$0.34
34.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.66
66.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength57% NO

7 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 57% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 21.8% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.66. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $15.7K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 86%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 17
% Edge
17%
Days Left
93
Annualized
86%
Smart Wallets
7

Alpha Signal: HOLD

7 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (57%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$41.6K
Smart Money Size
$15.7K
Consensus Strength
57%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.34 (34.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.66 (66.0% implied probability). The market has $3K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?"?

7 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 57% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $15.7K. The alpha score is 7 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 7 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 21.8% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score7
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date7/1/2026

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MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire