Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
🔬ScienceAlpha: 0

Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?

YES Price
$0.65
64.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.35
35.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength36% NO

14 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 36% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $6.6K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 3
% Edge
3%
Days Left
277
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
14

Alpha Signal: HOLD

14 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (36%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$8.1K
Liquidity
$4.0K
Smart Money Size
$6.6K
Consensus Strength
36%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.65 (64.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.35 (35.5% implied probability). The market has $8K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?â–¾

14 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 36% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $6.6K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2026

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Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire