Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
🇺🇸US PoliticsSTRONG YESAlpha: 16

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

YES Price
$0.91
90.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.10
9.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% YES

7 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting YES. This creates a 7.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.91. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $36.7K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 10
% Edge
10%
Days Left
276
Annualized
10%
Smart Wallets
7

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

7 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$128.59
Liquidity
$27.9K
Smart Money Size
$36.7K
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.91 (90.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.10 (9.5% implied probability). The market has $0K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?"?â–¾

7 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $36.7K. The alpha score is 16 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 16 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 7.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score16
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date12/31/2026

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Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire