Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

YES Price
$0.14
13.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.86
86.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength51% NO

45 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 51% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $302.3K in total exposure to this market.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 13
% Edge
13%
Days Left
93
Annualized
Smart Wallets
45

Alpha Signal: HOLD

45 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (51%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$9.0K
Liquidity
$323.9K
Smart Money Size
$302.3K
Consensus Strength
51%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.14 (13.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.86 (86.5% implied probability). The market has $9K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?"?

45 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 51% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $302.3K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date6/30/2026

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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire