Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
💼BusinessAlpha: 01d left

Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026

YES Price
$0.21
21.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.79
78.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength48% NO

25 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 48% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $26.4K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 10
% Edge
10%
Days Left
1
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
25

Alpha Signal: HOLD

25 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (48%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$10.0K
Liquidity
$3.6K
Smart Money Size
$26.4K
Consensus Strength
48%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.21 (21.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.79 (78.5% implied probability). The market has $10K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026"?â–¾

25 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 48% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $26.4K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score0
End Date3/31/2026

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Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire