Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?
💼BusinessLEAN YESAlpha: 11

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

YES Price
$0.64
64.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.36
36.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength59% YES

17 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 59% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 23.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.64. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $38.7K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 92%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 15
% Edge
15%
Days Left
92
Annualized
92%
Smart Wallets
17

Alpha Signal: HOLD

17 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (59%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$3.8K
Liquidity
$11.8K
Smart Money Size
$38.7K
Consensus Strength
59%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.64 (64.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.36 (36.0% implied probability). The market has $4K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?"?â–¾

17 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 59% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $38.7K. The alpha score is 11 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 11 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 23.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score11
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date6/30/2026

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Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire