Will Kevin Cramer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?
💼BusinessLEAN YESAlpha: 2

Will Kevin Cramer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?

YES Price
$0.97
96.8% implied probability
NO Price
$0.03
3.3% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% YES

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting YES. This creates a 0.3% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.97. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $435. With 55 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 16
% Edge
16%
Days Left
55
Annualized
2%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$1.8K
Smart Money Size
$435
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Kevin Cramer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.97 (96.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.03 (3.3% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Kevin Cramer vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $435. The alpha score is 2 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 2 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 0.3% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score2
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date6/30/2026

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