US recession by end of 2026?
💼BusinessAlpha: 0

US recession by end of 2026?

YES Price
$0.22
22.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.78
78.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength43% NO

43 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 43% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $202.2K in total exposure to this market.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 6
% Edge
6%
Days Left
265
Annualized
Smart Wallets
43

Alpha Signal: HOLD

43 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (43%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$1.4M
Liquidity
$16.5K
Smart Money Size
$202.2K
Consensus Strength
43%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "US recession by end of 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.22 (22.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.78 (78.0% implied probability). The market has $1.4M in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "US recession by end of 2026?"?

43 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 43% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $202.2K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score0
End Date1/31/2027

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