Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

YES Price
$0.46
46.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.54
54.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength52% NO

25 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 52% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $67.2K. With 41 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 24
% Edge
24%
Days Left
41
Annualized
Smart Wallets
25

Alpha Signal: HOLD

25 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (52%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$702.2K
Liquidity
$59.5K
Smart Money Size
$67.2K
Consensus Strength
52%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.46 (46.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.54 (54.0% implied probability). The market has $702K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?"?

25 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 52% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $67.2K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date4/30/2026

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