Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 4

Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?

YES Price
$0.07
7.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.93
92.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength66% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 66% consensus betting NO. This creates a 3.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.93. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $3.7K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 9
% Edge
9%
Days Left
102
Annualized
12%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (66%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$291.1K
Liquidity
$34.5K
Smart Money Size
$3.7K
Consensus Strength
66%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.07 (7.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.93 (92.5% implied probability). The market has $291K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 66% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $3.7K. The alpha score is 4 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 4 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 3.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score4
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date6/30/2026

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