Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 23?
💼BusinessSTRONG YESAlpha: 92d left

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 23?

YES Price
$0.23
22.8% implied probability
NO Price
$0.77
77.2% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% YES

1 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 75.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.23. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $64. With only 2 days until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 27
% Edge
27%
Days Left
2
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
1

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

1 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$383.58
Liquidity
$1.2K
Smart Money Size
$64
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 23?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.23 (22.8% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.77 (77.2% implied probability). The market has $0K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 23?"?â–¾

1 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $64. The alpha score is 9 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 9 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 75.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score9
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date3/23/2026

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Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $380 on March 23? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire