NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN NOAlpha: 4

NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
$0.23
23.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.77
77.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting NO. This creates a notable 14.1% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.77. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $1.9K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 14
% Edge
14%
Days Left
286
Annualized
18%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$12.9K
Liquidity
$40.3K
Smart Money Size
$1.9K
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.23 (23.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.77 (77.0% implied probability). The market has $13K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.9K. The alpha score is 4 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 4 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 14.1% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score4
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date12/31/2026

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