Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Andrej Nedic
Smart Money Analysis
9 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 56% consensus betting YES. This creates a 8.9% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.84. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $79.0K. Resolution is 7 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 462%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 36Alpha Signal: HOLD
9 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (56%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Andrej Nedic"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.84 (84.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.15 (15.5% implied probability). The market has $104K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Split: Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg vs Andrej Nedic"?â–¾
9 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 56% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $79.0K. The alpha score is 6 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 6 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾
The 8.9% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.