Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
CryptoLEAN NOAlpha: 3

Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?

YES Price
$0.14
14.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.85
85.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength60% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 60% consensus betting NO. This creates a 8.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.85. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $4.7K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 9
% Edge
9%
Days Left
652
Annualized
5%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_NO consensus (60%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$64.3K
Liquidity
$16.6K
Smart Money Size
$4.7K
Consensus Strength
60%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.14 (14.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.85 (85.5% implied probability). The market has $64K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 60% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $4.7K. The alpha score is 3 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 3 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 8.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score3
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date1/1/2028

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