Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?
🌍World PoliticsSTRONG NOAlpha: 1

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?

YES Price
$0.14
13.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.86
86.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% NO

2 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting NO. This creates a notable 11.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.86. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $2.3K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 10
% Edge
10%
Days Left
103
Annualized
41%
Smart Wallets
2

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

2 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.3K
Liquidity
$13.4K
Smart Money Size
$2.3K
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.14 (13.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.86 (86.5% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30?"?

2 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $2.3K. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 11.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score1
ConsensusSTRONG NO
End Date6/30/2026

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