Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on March 29?
🔬ScienceLEAN YESAlpha: 53d left

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on March 29?

YES Price
$0.02
2.1% implied probability
NO Price
$0.98
97.9% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength60% YES

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 60% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 66.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.02. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $2.9K. With only 3 days until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 47
% Edge
47%
Days Left
3
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (60%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.7K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Smart Money Size
$2.9K
Consensus Strength
60%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on March 29?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.02 (2.1% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.98 (97.9% implied probability). The market has $3K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on March 29?"?

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 60% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $2.9K. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 66.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score5
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date3/29/2026

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on March 29? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire