Trump out as President by June 30?
Smart Money Analysis
52 of the highest-performing Polymarket wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 77% consensus betting NO. This creates a 0.2% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.98. With $1.63M in total smart money exposure, this represents one of the highest-conviction plays in the dataset. With 57 days until resolution, there is still time for the market to converge toward the smart money consensus.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 28Alpha Signal: BUY_NO
52 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (77%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Trump out as President by June 30?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.02 (2.2% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.98 (97.8% implied probability). The market has $4.6M in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Trump out as President by June 30?"?▾
52 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 77% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.63M. The alpha score is 35 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 35 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 0.2% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.