Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
🔬ScienceAlpha: 0

Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?

YES Price
$0.14
14.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.86
86.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength48% NO

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 48% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $1.2K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 3
% Edge
3%
Days Left
287
Annualized
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (48%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$76.7K
Liquidity
$4.0K
Smart Money Size
$1.2K
Consensus Strength
48%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.14 (14.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.86 (86.0% implied probability). The market has $77K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 48% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.2K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2026

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