Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?
Smart Money Analysis
4 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 37% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $331. Resolution is 11 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 26Alpha Signal: HOLD
4 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (37%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.17 (17.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.83 (83.0% implied probability). The market has $47K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?"?▾
4 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 37% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $331. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.