Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
🔬ScienceAlpha: 06d left

Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?

YES Price
$0.25
25.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.75
75.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength36% NO

3 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 36% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $1.2K. Resolution is 6 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 25
% Edge
25%
Days Left
6
Annualized
—
Smart Wallets
3

Alpha Signal: HOLD

3 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (36%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.0K
Liquidity
$1.2K
Smart Money Size
$1.2K
Consensus Strength
36%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.25 (25.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.75 (75.0% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?"?â–¾

3 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 36% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $1.2K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🔬Science
Alpha Score0
End Date5/10/2026

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Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire