Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
🌍World PoliticsLEAN YESAlpha: 3

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
$0.73
73.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.27
26.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength58% YES

9 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 58% consensus betting YES. This creates a notable 16.6% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.73. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $3.1K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 14
% Edge
14%
Days Left
235
Annualized
26%
Smart Wallets
9

Alpha Signal: HOLD

9 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (58%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$40.0K
Liquidity
$25.3K
Smart Money Size
$3.1K
Consensus Strength
58%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.73 (73.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.27 (26.5% implied probability). The market has $40K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?"?

9 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 58% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $3.1K. The alpha score is 3 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 3 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 16.6% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score3
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date12/31/2026

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