Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valspar Championship?
SportsSTRONG YESAlpha: 61d left

Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valspar Championship?

YES Price
$0.10
10.4% implied probability
NO Price
$0.90
89.6% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% YES

2 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 87.6% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.10. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $7.2K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 30
% Edge
30%
Days Left
1
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
2

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

2 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$2.2K
Liquidity
$4.6K
Smart Money Size
$7.2K
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valspar Championship?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.10 (10.4% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.90 (89.6% implied probability). The market has $2K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valspar Championship?"?

2 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $7.2K. The alpha score is 6 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 6 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 87.6% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategorySports
Alpha Score6
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date3/22/2026

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Will Marco Penge win the 2026 Valspar Championship? — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire