Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?
CryptoLEAN YESAlpha: 3

Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?

YES Price
$0.36
36.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.64
64.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength55% YES

20 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 55% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 42.8% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.36. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $38.8K. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 55%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 21
% Edge
21%
Days Left
286
Annualized
55%
Smart Wallets
20

Alpha Signal: HOLD

20 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (55%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$152.6K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Smart Money Size
$38.8K
Consensus Strength
55%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.36 (36.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.64 (64.0% implied probability). The market has $153K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?"?

20 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 55% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $38.8K. The alpha score is 3 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 3 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 42.8% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

CategoryCrypto
Alpha Score3
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date12/31/2026

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