Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Smart Money Analysis
5 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 80% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 82.0% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.16. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $480. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 105%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 22Alpha Signal: BUY_NO
5 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (80%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.84 (84.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.16 (16.0% implied probability). The market has $23K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?"?▾
5 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 80% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $480. The alpha score is 6 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 6 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?▾
The 82.0% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.