Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
🌍World PoliticsAlpha: 0

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

YES Price
$0.18
18.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.81
81.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength38% NO

13 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 38% consensus betting NO. Smart money has committed $105.5K in total exposure to this market.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 10
% Edge
10%
Days Left
600
Annualized
Smart Wallets
13

Alpha Signal: HOLD

13 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (38%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$532.4K
Liquidity
$104.8K
Smart Money Size
$105.5K
Consensus Strength
38%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.18 (18.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.81 (81.5% implied probability). The market has $532K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?"?

13 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 38% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $105.5K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

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Market Info

Category🌍World Politics
Alpha Score0
End Date12/31/2027

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