Morelia: Marc Polmans vs Facundo Mena
🎯unknownLEAN NOAlpha: 467d left

Morelia: Marc Polmans vs Facundo Mena

YES Price
$0.55
54.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.46
45.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength71% NO

7 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 71% consensus betting NO. This creates a significant 52.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.46. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $7.4K. The alpha score of 46 indicates moderate smart money attention on this market. Resolution is 7 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 50
% Edge
50%
Days Left
7
Annualized
1000%
Smart Wallets
7

Alpha Signal: BUY_NO

7 smart wallets • STRONG_NO consensus (71%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$17.6K
Liquidity
$9.1K
Smart Money Size
$7.4K
Consensus Strength
71%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Morelia: Marc Polmans vs Facundo Mena"?â–¾

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.55 (54.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.46 (45.5% implied probability). The market has $18K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Morelia: Marc Polmans vs Facundo Mena"?â–¾

7 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 71% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $7.4K. The alpha score is 46 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾

This market has an alpha score of 46 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?â–¾

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾

The 52.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🎯unknown
Alpha Score46
ConsensusLEAN NO
End Date3/31/2026

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Morelia: Marc Polmans vs Facundo Mena — Smart Money Analysis | PolyFire