Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?
Smart Money Analysis
7 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 57% consensus betting YES. This creates a 5.7% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.89. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $4.0K. With only 1 day until resolution, this is a time-critical opportunity — odds may shift rapidly as the deadline approaches. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 1000%.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 8Alpha Signal: HOLD
7 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (57%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?"?â–¾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.89 (89.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.11 (10.9% implied probability). The market has $36K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 22?"?â–¾
7 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 57% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $4.0K. The alpha score is 2 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?â–¾
This market has an alpha score of 2 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?â–¾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.
What does the consensus edge mean?â–¾
The 5.7% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.