Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?
Smart Money Analysis
23 top-performing wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 41% consensus betting NO. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $10.6K. Resolution is 11 days away, creating near-term urgency for traders positioning on this outcome.
Opportunity Metrics
Score: 29Alpha Signal: HOLD
23 smart wallets • SPLIT consensus (41%)
Market Stats
Key Questions
What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?"?▾
As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.79 (79.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.21 (21.0% implied probability). The market has $60K in 24-hour trading volume.
What is smart money betting on "Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?"?▾
23 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 41% consensus betting NO. These wallets have a combined exposure of $10.6K. The alpha score is 0 out of 100.
What is the alpha score for this market?▾
This market has an alpha score of 0 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.
How can I trade this market?▾
You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.