Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
💼BusinessLEAN YESAlpha: 5

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?

YES Price
$0.13
13.0% implied probability
NO Price
$0.87
87.0% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength67% YES

6 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with a 67% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 58.9% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.13. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $4.4K.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 23
% Edge
23%
Days Left
607
Annualized
35%
Smart Wallets
6

Alpha Signal: HOLD

6 smart wallets • LEAN_YES consensus (67%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$97.8K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Smart Money Size
$4.4K
Consensus Strength
67%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.13 (13.0% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.87 (87.0% implied probability). The market has $98K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?"?

6 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 67% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $4.4K. The alpha score is 5 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 5 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 58.9% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category💼Business
Alpha Score5
ConsensusLEAN YES
End Date12/31/2027

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