Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?
🇺🇸US PoliticsSTRONG YESAlpha: 1

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?

YES Price
$0.20
20.5% implied probability
NO Price
$0.80
79.5% implied probability

Smart Money Analysis

Consensus Strength100% YES

1 tracked smart wallets have taken positions on this market, with an overwhelming 100% consensus betting YES. This creates a significant 77.5% edge between the smart money consensus and the current market price of $0.20. Total tracked exposure from smart wallets stands at $100. If smart money is correct, the annualized return on this position would be approximately 422%.

Opportunity Metrics

Score: 30
% Edge
30%
Days Left
67
Annualized
422%
Smart Wallets
1

Alpha Signal: BUY_YES

1 smart wallets • STRONG_YES consensus (100%)

Market Stats

24h Volume
$100
Liquidity
$742.3
Smart Money Size
$100
Consensus Strength
100%

Key Questions

What are the current Polymarket odds on "Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?"?

As of the latest data, YES is trading at $0.20 (20.5% implied probability) and NO is trading at $0.80 (79.5% implied probability). The market has $0K in 24-hour trading volume.

What is smart money betting on "Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?"?

1 tracked smart wallets are positioned on this market with a 100% consensus betting YES. These wallets have a combined exposure of $100. The alpha score is 1 out of 100.

What is the alpha score for this market?

This market has an alpha score of 1 out of 100, which indicates moderate tracking interest. The alpha score measures the concentration and conviction of high-performing wallets positioned in this market.

How can I trade this market?

You can trade this market directly through Polymarket, or use PolyFire's Telegram bot for instant execution with copy trading, AI signals, and smart wallet tracking. PolyFire charges a 1% fee on trades only and is fully non-custodial.

What does the consensus edge mean?

The 77.5% consensus edge represents the gap between what smart money is paying and where the market currently trades. A larger edge suggests smart wallets see value that the broader market hasn't priced in yet.

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Market Info

Category🇺🇸US Politics
Alpha Score1
ConsensusSTRONG YES
End Date5/26/2026

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